Náutico vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
4 - 0
NAU
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 2
NAU
30%
26%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
ASA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
POT
3 - 4
CSA
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
57%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
3 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
SER
1 - 0
CSA
40%
26%
33%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |