Náutico vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
3 - 1
COM
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
ATP
2 - 1
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
5 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CSA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
CSA
1 - 1
INT
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
CSA
0 - 0
ATP
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1986 |
BAH
2 - 0
CSA
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |