Náutico vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AME
2 - 3
NAU
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAU
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 0
REM
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
3 - 2
NAU
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
2 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 3
CRI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 0
CRB
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |