Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 1
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
GRE
3 - 0
CEN
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CEN
2 - 2
GOI
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAN
21%
27%
53%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
ATL
2 - 0
CEN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CEN
1 - 3
GUA
18%
25%
56%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |