Náutico vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
FFL
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
NAU
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
GOI
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LON
4 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 2
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOA
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |