Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
NAU
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
MAG
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
78%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 1
SPC
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
JAC
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |