Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAU
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
GLO
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
NAU
15%
26%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 1
GLO
69%
20%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
44%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FOR
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
IMP
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |