Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
22%
31%
48%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAU
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATP
6 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |