Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
NAU
2 - 2
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
LON
4 - 2
NAU
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
74%
16%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
BOT
2 - 1
ITA
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
BOT
1 - 1
OPE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
CEN
2 - 1
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
BOT
2 - 1
CEA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |