Copa do Brasil 1/32

First leg 7-1

Náutico vs Atlético Roraima analysis

Náutico Atlético Roraima
76 ELO 34
24.4% Tilt 8.2%
1233º General ELO ranking 14615º
53º Country ELO ranking 472º
ELO win probability
88.7%
Náutico
8%
Draw
3.3%
Atlético Roraima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
Náutico
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
Atlético Roraima
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO progression

Náutico
Atlético Roraima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2008
SET
7 de Setembro EC
0 - 2
Náutico
NAU
9%
16%
76%
76 25 51 0
22 Feb. 2008
NAU
Náutico
5 - 0
Petrolina
PET
89%
8%
3%
76 37 39 0
19 Feb. 2008
PET
Petrolina
1 - 2
Náutico
NAU
9%
16%
75%
76 37 39 0
15 Feb. 2008
ARO
Atlético Roraima
1 - 7
Náutico
NAU
10%
17%
73%
76 35 41 0
09 Feb. 2008
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
7 de Setembro EC
SET
90%
8%
3%
76 26 50 0

Matches

Atlético Roraima
Atlético Roraima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2008
ARO
Atlético Roraima
1 - 7
Náutico
NAU
10%
17%
73%
35 76 41 0
02 Jun. 2007
BAR
Baré EC
2 - 3
Atlético Roraima
ARO
57%
21%
22%
34 38 4 +1
22 Apr. 2006
BAR
Baré EC
3 - 2
Atlético Roraima
ARO
54%
22%
25%
34 36 2 0
25 Jun. 2005
ARO
Atlético Roraima
1 - 1
São Raimundo RR
SAO
18%
21%
62%
33 51 18 +1
18 Jun. 2005
ARO
Atlético Roraima
4 - 4
Baré EC
BAR
48%
23%
29%
33 36 3 0