Náutico vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 0
ARA
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SET
2 - 3
NAU
8%
16%
77%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 1
IVI
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CAB
1 - 2
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAB
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAB
2 - 1
ARA
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAB
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SET
1 - 0
CAB
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |