Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
NAU
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
AFO
79%
13%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 6
ABC
9%
15%
76%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEA
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |