Liga do Nordeste Group Stages Round 5

Náutico vs ABC analysis

Náutico ABC
63 ELO 59
4.7% Tilt -15.3%
1263º General ELO ranking 1586º
54º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Náutico
22%
Draw
20.5%
ABC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Náutico
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
ABC
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+13%
-1%
ABC

ELO progression

Náutico
ABC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
0 - 1
Central SC
CEN
82%
13%
5%
64 44 20 0
20 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
28%
26%
46%
64 76 12 0
15 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
27%
25%
48%
63 75 12 +1
13 Feb. 2020
TCW
Toledo EC
0 - 2
Náutico
NAU
16%
23%
61%
62 47 15 +1
11 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Afogados
AFO
79%
13%
7%
63 45 18 -1

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2020
FEL
Força e Luz
0 - 6
ABC
ABC
9%
15%
76%
58 37 21 0
20 Feb. 2020
ABC
ABC
2 - 2
América RN
ARN
58%
23%
19%
58 52 6 0
16 Feb. 2020
GLO
Globo
1 - 2
ABC
ABC
21%
24%
55%
58 48 10 0
14 Feb. 2020
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
55%
23%
22%
59 62 3 -1
08 Feb. 2020
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
Ceará
CEA
20%
25%
55%
58 75 17 +1