Nations vs Samartex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
DRE
1 - 0
NFC
80%
15%
6%
|
8 | 68 | 60 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 2
TEC
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 63 | 56 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
NFC
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
NFC
1 - 0
PAC
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Samartex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 2
SFC
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
MED
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
SFC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KIN
0 - 2
SFC
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |