National Polytechnic vs Avion Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
National Polytechnic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
RBA
3 - 1
NPL
64%
23%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
LIO
2 - 0
NPL
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
NPL
0 - 0
UNG
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TON
1 - 0
NPL
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAB
0 - 0
NPL
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avion Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
AAF
4 - 1
PAN
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
AAF
3 - 0
ASM
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ETM
0 - 1
AAF
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
TON
2 - 1
AAF
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |