National Polytechnic vs Avion Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
National Polytechnic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ETM
2 - 2
NPL
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
NPL
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
DOU
1 - 3
NPL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PAN
0 - 0
NPL
54%
27%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
NPL
1 - 1
DYD
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avion Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 0
DOU
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
DYD
2 - 1
AAF
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 0
FOV
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
AAF
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ASM
2 - 1
AAF
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |