Naters vs Stade Payerne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
8º
3º
7
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 70 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 50 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 47 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 47 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 42 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 40 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 39 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 30 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 4.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
20% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
FCM
0 - 1
NAT
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
NAT
3 - 0
LAN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
MEY
0 - 3
NAT
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
CSC
2 - 2
NAT
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NAT
4 - 1
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
STA
0 - 0
CSC
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
STA
1 - 2
FCC
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
ECH
1 - 4
STA
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
STA
1 - 3
YVE
5%
12%
83%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
POR
2 - 3
STA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |