1st Division round 5

Næstved vs HB Køge analysis

Næstved HB Køge
64 ELO 67
-0.8% Tilt 13.6%
2901º General ELO ranking 2503º
33º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Næstved
28.1%
Draw
31.8%
HB Køge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Næstved
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.7%
Win probability
HB Køge
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Næstved
HB Køge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Næstved
Næstved
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2018
HVI
Hvidovre IF
2 - 1
Næstved
NAE
40%
25%
35%
64 61 3 0
12 Aug. 2018
NAE
Næstved
1 - 1
Thisted
THI
55%
23%
22%
64 57 7 0
08 Aug. 2018
KAR
Karlslunde
0 - 3
Næstved
NAE
5%
10%
86%
64 33 31 0
05 Aug. 2018
FCH
FC Helsingør
1 - 1
Næstved
NAE
39%
26%
34%
64 65 1 0
29 Jul. 2018
NAE
Næstved
3 - 2
Fredericia
FRE
44%
26%
30%
64 64 0 0

Matches

HB Køge
HB Køge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2018
HBK
HB Køge
1 - 0
Nykøbing FC
LFA
50%
26%
24%
67 60 7 0
12 Aug. 2018
SIF
Silkeborg IF
0 - 3
HB Køge
HBK
63%
22%
15%
66 71 5 +1
08 Aug. 2018
HIK
Humlebæk
1 - 4
HB Køge
HBK
7%
14%
79%
66 10 56 0
05 Aug. 2018
HBK
HB Køge
1 - 0
Viborg FF
VFF
37%
28%
35%
66 66 0 0
29 Jul. 2018
HBK
HB Køge
5 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
44%
27%
29%
66 61 5 0