Næstved II vs Vaerebro BK 1968 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
6º
18
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SKJ
1 - 1
NAS
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAS
3 - 2
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SBO
4 - 0
NAS
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 1
NAS
48%
21%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NAS
2 - 2
KFU
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vaerebro BK 1968
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
1 - 2
AVA
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KFU
2 - 1
VB1
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
0 - 3
ALL
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
VB1
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
2 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |