Næstved II vs Fjordager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
KOR
1 - 5
NAS
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DOL
2 - 2
NAS
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NAS
4 - 2
NAE
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
NAS
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 2
SON
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fjordager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
FJO
2 - 5
DOL
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NAE
3 - 2
FJO
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FJO
0 - 7
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SON
3 - 1
FJO
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FJO
2 - 2
OKS
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |