Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
WAD
2 - 1
NAS
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
NAS
1 - 1
ELS
25%
32%
44%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ENP
0 - 0
NAS
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
NAS
0 - 3
ALA
23%
31%
46%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ELD
2 - 2
NAS
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOK
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 4
ALI
18%
27%
55%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
ASY
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALI
55%
27%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
ELR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |