NAŠK vs Kutjevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
13º
3º
49
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 1
NAS
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 0
VAL
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 0
NAS
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
NAS
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAS
4 - 0
OGV
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kutjevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NKK
1 - 3
ORI
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NKS
4 - 2
NKK
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NKK
0 - 1
BKV
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
NKK
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
NKK
0 - 1
SLA
39%
22%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |