Nasaf Qarshi vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
1º
11
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 58 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 55 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 49 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
47.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
NEF
1 - 0
NAS
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 1
AND
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAS
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DSA
2 - 2
NAS
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 2
PAK
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 2
QOQ
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 1
SHO
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 3
XOR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 2
QIZ
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BUX
3 - 1
SHO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |