Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAS
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 0
NAS
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAS
4 - 0
AND
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
NAS
0 - 1
RAY
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAS
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 1
DSA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 2
QIZ
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUX
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
QIZ
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
FKK
0 - 4
QIZ
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |