PFL round 1

Nasaf Qarshi vs FC AGMK analysis

Nasaf Qarshi FC AGMK
67 ELO 64
9.7% Tilt -15.2%
1993º General ELO ranking 1994º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.2%
Nasaf Qarshi
22.6%
Draw
21.2%
FC AGMK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Nasaf Qarshi
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
FC AGMK
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nasaf Qarshi
+6%
+20%
FC AGMK

ELO progression

Nasaf Qarshi
FC AGMK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nasaf Qarshi
Nasaf Qarshi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2012
BUN
Bunyodkor
3 - 0
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
54%
23%
22%
68 71 3 0
25 Nov. 2012
BUX
Buxoro
3 - 3
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
45%
27%
29%
68 65 3 0
21 Nov. 2012
NAS
Nasaf Qarshi
2 - 1
Dinamo Samarqand
DSA
51%
25%
24%
68 69 1 0
17 Nov. 2012
NAS
Nasaf Qarshi
0 - 2
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
51%
25%
25%
69 69 0 -1
28 Oct. 2012
NEF
Neftchi
0 - 0
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
59%
23%
18%
69 69 0 0

Matches

FC AGMK
FC AGMK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2012
NEF
Neftchi
4 - 2
FC AGMK
OLM
60%
21%
19%
64 69 5 0
17 Nov. 2012
OLM
FC AGMK
0 - 3
Pakhtakor
PAK
45%
26%
30%
65 69 4 -1
27 Oct. 2012
AND
Andijon
1 - 4
FC AGMK
OLM
42%
25%
33%
64 61 3 +1
20 Oct. 2012
OLM
FC AGMK
4 - 0
Mash' al
MAS
47%
26%
28%
63 66 3 +1
06 Oct. 2012
QIZ
Qizilqum
2 - 1
FC AGMK
OLM
41%
26%
33%
63 61 2 0