Nasaf Qarshi vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
QIZ
3 - 3
NAS
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BUX
1 - 2
NAS
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
NAS
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
NAS
3 - 0
BUX
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
QOQ
1 - 2
NAS
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MET
1 - 2
BUX
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
BUN
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
QOQ
2 - 1
MET
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
PAK
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
OBO
1 - 1
MET
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |