Nasaf Qarshi vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BUN
0 - 3
NAS
11%
21%
68%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NAS
2 - 1
NEF
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
NAS
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NAS
3 - 0
BUX
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
FKL
1 - 1
NAS
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
NAV
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BUX
2 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
FKL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DSA
2 - 0
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OLM
3 - 2
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |