Nardò vs Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 0
PUT
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
3 - 1
NAR
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NAR
0 - 3
PIC
18%
27%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SOR
2 - 1
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USF
2 - 0
NAR
84%
12%
4%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FBC
1 - 3
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 0
ASF
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
VIR
22%
21%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
VIR
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 0
RAA
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |