Nardò vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 2
NAR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 0
APR
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 3
NAR
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
TUR
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACI
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 3
PIC
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |