Nardò vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAR
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 1
ACI
54%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 0
BIS
22%
25%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PIC
0 - 2
NAR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
3 - 0
SSE
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 0
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
SSE
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
0 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 5
SSE
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |