Nardò vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
SFM
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 1
NAR
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 2
NAR
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
NFR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFM
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 2
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
FBC
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCF
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |