Nardò vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FBC
3 - 2
NAR
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
USF
0 - 0
NAR
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 3
VIR
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 1
GRA
49%
27%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAR
2 - 0
HYR
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASF
1 - 0
USF
3%
16%
81%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 2
ASF
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FBC
2 - 3
ASF
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ASF
2 - 2
NAR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
ASF
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |