Narcea vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+257%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
NAR
0 - 1
NAV
36%
27%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
HIS
5 - 1
NAR
55%
23%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
NAR
1 - 1
LEA
20%
23%
56%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
TUR
3 - 1
NAR
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
NAR
3 - 2
RTI
22%
27%
52%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CAU
7 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
COL
0 - 0
TUI
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SMA
2 - 0
COL
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
COL
1 - 1
CAN
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GIN
2 - 3
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |