Narcea vs Codema CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOZ
1 - 0
NAR
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 0
TIN
49%
24%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
NAR
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAR
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
RAI
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Codema CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COD
0 - 1
HIS
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
COD
76%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
COD
0 - 1
SLC
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COD
2 - 2
TRE
25%
21%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
COD
91%
6%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |