Narbonne vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NIM
0 - 1
NAR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
NAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 0
BAL
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAR
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 1
AUR
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LES
2 - 0
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIM
3 - 0
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 3
LCF
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |