Narahio vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narahio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
NAR
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 1
MEI
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
NAR
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 1
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 2
NAR
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOE
3 - 1
NOF
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 3
CAR
43%
20%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 7
MOE
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 3
MEI
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOE
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |