Nara-ShBFR vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
NAR
1 - 3
IST
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2008 |
SHC
2 - 0
NAR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DVO
3 - 0
NAR
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 0
VOL
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NAR
3 - 2
FKZ
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
IST
1 - 1
SEV
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 2
DVO
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 2
SHC
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
VOL
0 - 1
SEV
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2008 |
FKZ
2 - 2
SEV
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |