Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
OBI
0 - 0
NAP
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NAP
4 - 1
RAD
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
MLA
1 - 2
NAP
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NPA
0 - 1
MLA
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
NPA
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
NPA
2 - 0
BSK
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 1
NPA
69%
19%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NPA
0 - 1
DVR
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |