Napoli vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 0
NAP
36%
21%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 2
PRO
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
USA
3 - 2
LIV
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
USA
2 - 3
BOL
29%
21%
50%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
USA
2 - 1
ACM
31%
22%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
INT
2 - 0
USA
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |