Serie A Round 16

Napoli vs Sampdoria analysis

Napoli Sampdoria
77 ELO 74
-9.7% Tilt -26.5%
General ELO ranking 408º
Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Napoli
22.9%
Draw
19%
Sampdoria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Napoli
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
Sampdoria
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Napoli
Sampdoria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 1966
NAP
Napoli
2 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
49%
25%
26%
76 79 3 0
26 Dec. 1965
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
45%
29%
26%
76 74 2 0
19 Dec. 1965
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
68%
20%
12%
76 86 10 0
12 Dec. 1965
NAP
Napoli
2 - 2
Varese
VAR
60%
23%
17%
76 70 6 0
28 Nov. 1965
NAP
Napoli
4 - 2
Vicenza
VIC
43%
26%
32%
76 80 4 0

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 1966
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
49%
28%
23%
73 75 2 0
26 Dec. 1965
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
55%
24%
21%
73 77 4 0
19 Dec. 1965
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 5
Inter
INT
17%
24%
60%
74 90 16 -1
12 Dec. 1965
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
50%
26%
24%
74 76 2 0
28 Nov. 1965
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Varese
VAR
50%
26%
24%
73 70 3 +1