Napoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
INT
3 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 4
JUV
16%
20%
65%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 1
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
MES
1 - 1
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |