Europa League Group D Round 4

Napoli vs Midtjylland analysis

Napoli Midtjylland
89 ELO 81
23.9% Tilt 1.7%
General ELO ranking 252º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
75.9%
Napoli
14.8%
Draw
9.3%
Midtjylland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
Napoli
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Win probability
Midtjylland
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Napoli
Midtjylland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2015
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
26%
25%
49%
89 83 6 0
28 Oct. 2015
NAP
Napoli
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
78%
14%
8%
89 82 7 0
25 Oct. 2015
CHI
Chievo
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
18%
24%
58%
89 81 8 0
22 Oct. 2015
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 4
Napoli
NAP
29%
26%
45%
89 84 5 0
18 Oct. 2015
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
57%
22%
22%
89 89 0 0

Matches

Midtjylland
Midtjylland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2015
MID
Midtjylland
2 - 4
Viborg FF
VFF
72%
18%
10%
82 66 16 0
28 Oct. 2015
ROS
Roskilde
3 - 2
Midtjylland
MID
12%
19%
69%
82 60 22 0
25 Oct. 2015
BIF
Brøndby IF
2 - 1
Midtjylland
MID
30%
27%
44%
82 78 4 0
22 Oct. 2015
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 4
Napoli
NAP
29%
26%
45%
84 89 5 -2
16 Oct. 2015
MID
Midtjylland
2 - 1
Randers
RAN
59%
23%
18%
83 79 4 +1