Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 1
CHI
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 2
NAP
20%
24%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VER
0 - 3
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 3
LAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |