Serie A Round 8

Napoli vs Lazio analysis

Napoli Lazio
81 ELO 78
-10.2% Tilt -18.8%
General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.5%
Napoli
20.7%
Draw
17.8%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
Napoli
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.8%
Win probability
Lazio
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-1%
-6%
Lazio

ELO progression

Napoli
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 1956
PAD
Padova
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
44%
25%
31%
81 74 7 0
21 Oct. 1956
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
38%
26%
36%
81 73 8 0
14 Oct. 1956
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
52%
22%
26%
81 81 0 0
07 Oct. 1956
ACM
Milan
3 - 5
Napoli
NAP
81%
12%
7%
81 88 7 0
30 Sep. 1956
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter
INT
46%
23%
30%
81 85 4 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 1956
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
61%
21%
18%
78 75 3 0
21 Oct. 1956
SPA
SPAL
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
39%
26%
35%
78 73 5 0
14 Oct. 1956
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 3
Roma
ROM
55%
23%
22%
79 80 1 -1
07 Oct. 1956
BOL
Bologna
3 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
63%
19%
18%
79 81 2 0
30 Sep. 1956
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
67%
19%
14%
79 73 6 0