Napoli vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 2
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
ELF
0 - 2
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
ELF
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAP
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 20 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
UTR
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TWE
4 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
DON
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 0
WIL
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
DON
2 - 0
UTR
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |