Napoli U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
3º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 2
NAP
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPE
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAP
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
NAP
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CES
5 - 0
CRO
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CES
4 - 1
CCS
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 2
CES
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |