Napier City Rovers vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
3º
28
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
MIR
16%
16%
68%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
NAP
23%
19%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STO
1 - 3
NAP
20%
18%
62%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
NAP
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 3
NAP
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
2 - 3
WSU
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 3
STO
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
47%
20%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
WSU
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |