Napier City Rovers vs Lower Hutt City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
6%
14%
80%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 1
MIR
50%
22%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
PET
1 - 6
NAP
5%
13%
82%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
NAP
0 - 1
WSU
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 2
NAP
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
LHC
0 - 5
WEL
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
NWA
5 - 2
LHC
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
LHC
7 - 0
STO
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MIR
3 - 1
LHC
87%
9%
3%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
LHC
1 - 1
WKA
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |