Nantes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
TRO
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
LYO
17%
21%
63%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 3
REI
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
TFC
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 2
LYO
28%
23%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 2
TFC
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ANN
1 - 2
TFC
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
TFC
29%
24%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |