Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
FCR
0 - 1
ASN
25%
28%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
ASN
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1998 |
ASN
2 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIO
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1997 |
ASN
3 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
4 - 2
NIC
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
FCM
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
POI
2 - 1
NIC
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
AMI
2 - 2
NIC
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
NIC
2 - 0
FCG
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |