Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
LHA
2 - 0
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
ASN
4 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
MET
3 - 1
ASN
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
STR
1 - 0
ASN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
LHA
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |